SK Innovation and SK E&S announce merger, forming Asia-Pacific's largest private energy company with assets of KRW 100 trillion
■ To achieve EBITDA of KRW 20 trillion by 2030 through three major synergies: portfolio, financial/profit Structure, and growth momentum
① Portfolio competitiveness: to establish portfolio competitiveness across all businesses, including current and future energy sectors
② Strengthening financial/profit structure: to secure stable profit generation capabilities in addition to external growth in assets and sales
③ Securing growth momentum: to enhance fundamental competitiveness and foster new businesses through the integration of resources and capabilities
■ To enhance raw material sourcing competitiveness and improve profit structure through the merger of SK On, SK Trading International, and SK Enterm
SK Innovation and SK E&S have announced their decision to merge, evolving into a comprehensive energy company that encompasses the entire value chain of both current energy sources (such as oil and LNG) and future energy sources (including renewable energy, hydrogen, and SMR), as well as electrification businesses like batteries and ESS.
Upon merging, the combined entity will transform into a colossal energy company with assets totaling KRW 100 trillion and revenues of KRW 88 trillion, positioning itself as the largest private energy company in the Asia-Pacific region.
In pursuit of this goal, SK Innovation and SK E&S each held board meetings on the 17th and approved the merger proposal. If the merger plan is approved at the shareholders' meeting scheduled for the 27th of next month, the merged corporation will officially launch on November 1st.
The merger ratio between the two companies is set at 1:1.1917417, calculated based on the corporate values of SK Innovation and SK E&S. Based on this ratio, SK Innovation, as the listed company, will issue new shares to SK Inc., the shareholder of SK E&S, amounting to 49,769,267 shares. The new shares of SK Innovation are expected to be listed on November 20th, and post-merger, SK Inc.'s stake in SK Innovation is anticipated to increase from 36.22% to 55.9%.
On the same day, SK On, SK Trading International, and SK Enterm each convened their respective board meetings and resolved to merge the three companies.
◈ Evolving into a Total Energy & Solutions Company, leading current and future energy
The merger between the two companies is being undertaken to proactively address the rapidly evolving external business environment, which includes the prolonged global economic downturn, heightened uncertainty in the energy and chemical sectors, and the chasm in the electric vehicle market. Additionally, the merger aims to secure competitiveness in future energy business areas.
SK Innovation was established in 1962 as the first oil refining company in Korea. The company has expanded its business portfolio to include petrochemicals, lubricants, and oil exploration. It is now diversifying into future energy sectors such as electric vehicle batteries, small modular reactors (SMR), ammonia, and immersion cooling, making it the largest energy company in the country.
SK E&S was spun off from SK Innovation in 1999 as a city gas holding company. It has become Korea's leading private LNG company by completing the LNG value chain on a global scale. The company is transitioning to a green portfolio that organically integrates its four core businesses - city gas, low-carbon LNG value chain, renewable energy, and hydrogen and energy solutions, to create synergies.
The merger is significant as it brings together two companies that have each grown to become the leading players in their respective business areas, solidifying their position as the largest private energy company in the Asia-Pacific region.
Beyond external growth, the merger will generate synergies in three key areas: enhancing portfolio competitiveness, strengthening financial and profit structures, and securing growth momentum.
Firstly, the merged company will develop a comprehensive portfolio that spans all areas, including energy sources (such as oil, chemicals, LNG, city gas, power, renewable energy, batteries, ESS, hydrogen, SMR, ammonia, and immersion cooling), energy carriers, and energy solutions. This will lay a solid foundation for sustainable growth. Currently, global oil majors are also currently pursuing balanced portfolios across the energy sector through various mergers and acquisitions.
Additionally, the merged company will not only achieve a scale of KRW 100 trillion in assets and KRW 88 trillion in revenue but also strengthen its financial and profit structure, with EBITDA* increasing to KRW 5.8 trillion, up 1.9 trillion KRW from pre-merger levels. Notably, the merged company will be able to mitigate the high profit volatility of the petrochemical business, which has served as a reliable cash cow, with the stable profit generation capabilities of the LNG, power, and city gas businesses. An analysis of the pre-tax profit volatility over the past 10 years shows that the merged company's pre-tax profit volatility will be significantly reduced from 215% to 66%.
*EBITDA: Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization
Furthermore, by integrating assets and capabilities across both energy and electrification sectors, the merged company will bolster its core competitiveness and profitability. For instance, combining SK Innovation's crude oil refining, crude oil/petroleum product trading, and oil exploration operations with SK E&S's gas development, LNG trading, and combined cycle power generation will improve the economics and profitability of exploration and development. Additionally, the shared use of infrastructure such as ships and terminals will enable operational optimization.
The electrification efforts pursued by both companies are also expected to gain momentum. SK Innovation has been advancing future energy businesses such as electric vehicle batteries, ESS, and thermal management systems, while SK E&S has focused on distributed power sources like renewable energy and district electricity businesses, as well as hydrogen, charging infrastructure, and energy solutions. The merged company will be able to combine the products and services of both companies to create new business models and pioneer new markets.
The two companies anticipate that by 2030, the synergies from the integration will alone add over KRW 2.1 trillion to EBITDA, aiming for a total EBITDA of KRW 20 trillion.
Park Sang-kyu, CEO & President of SK Innovation, stated, "The merger of the two companies represents a structural and fundamental innovation aimed at achieving sustainable growth by proactively responding to the changing environment surrounding the energy industry.” “Through this merger, SK Innovation will grow into a ‘Total Energy & Solution Company' that leads Korea's energy industry from the present into the future."
Choo Hyeong-wook, CEO & President of SK E&S, commented, "This merger will not only strengthen the existing business capabilities of both companies but also secure growth engines for key future energy businesses.” “Based on the synergies created through the merger, SK E&S will enhance its green portfolio centered on its four core businesses and lead the future energy market."
◈ Merger in trading and tank terminal businesses to boost SK On's continued growth
SK Trading International, which has approved the merger with SK On, is Korea's sole specialized trading company for crude oil and petroleum products. Meanwhile, SK Enterm is the country's largest commercial tank terminal operator, specializing in the storage and handling of petroleum cargo.
Through the merger of these three companies, SK On will be able to further strengthen its competitiveness in securing raw materials and ensure business sustainability. Additionally, SK Trading International will secure future growth engines by entering new mineral trading fields such as lithium and nickel, while the merger with SK Enterm will provide the necessary storage capacity for its trading business. Most importantly, the merger of the three companies is expected to improve the profit structure by generating an additional KRW 500 billion in EBITDA from the trading and tank terminal businesses.
[Photos]
(Photo 1) The journey of SK in the South Korean energy industry
(Photo 2) Financial structure before and after merger
(Photo 3) Ranking of energy companies in the Asia-Pacific region
2024. 07. 17
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Why the future of transportation in the US remains battery electric (by James Carter)
What the heck is up with the electric vehicle industry??
If you have read the North American media recently you would get the picture that the EV industry is in decidedly poor shape and the future is very uncertain.
Here’s some recent news that we’ve seen in the last few months:
It’s unfortunately all true.
So, is this the end of electric vehicles (EVs)? What happened? What changed??
Let me be VERY clear: NOTHING has changed in the medium- and long-term outlook for EVs.
EVs will still be the dominant form of road transportation by the 2030s, and like every new technologically innovative industry that changes people’s behaviours, adoption has its pain points as the industry develops.
Therefore, it’s really important to understand the recent history and dig into why we are at this point with EVs today.
| EVs – A pathway forward
For decades people have been thinking about how to drastically reduce pollution in our transportation, a dream of zero emissions and drastically reducing our reliance on oil and gas.
EVs offered a pathway forward for zero emissions motoring that both completely nixed harmful tailpipe pollution, and drastically lowered carbon emissions over the vehicle’s life.
The “WHY” of EV was clear.
Back in the early 2010s the dream of the electric car came to fruition with the advent of the large lithium -ion battery, suitable for use in cars and trucks. The introduction of vehicles like the Nissan Leaf, and soon after the Tesla Model S, resulted in the volume production of EVs.
These were breakthrough vehicles, and as the decade progressed, they were soon followed by other great purpose built EVs like the BMW i3, Chevrolet Bolt and later the extremely popular Tesla Model 3. What’s more, public chargers began to be installed and EV long distance travel for the middle class became a reality.
| The COVID pandemic Supercharged EVs
Then something crazy happened, COVID hit. This once in a century pandemic knocked the world off its feet.
Governments pumped tons of money into the economy and EV purchasing and investing became the flavour of the month. Sales took off, share prices skyrocketed and the EV future looked like it had come! Between 2020 and 2023:
• Tesla became a trillion-dollar company
• Ford had hundreds of thousands of pre-orders for the F150 Lightning electric pickup
• EVs sold at dealers for $10,000 or more over list
• Governments mandated zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) sales mixes
• Chargers were rolled out at breakneck speed
• A tidal wave of new EV models was launched
• Model Y became the top selling passenger vehicle in the US, only behind F150 and GM trucks. In fact, it became the world’s best-selling vehicle in 2023.
An EV did this?? It sure did! Ten years ago, no one would have forecast that!
| The bubble bursts
Yet, the unfortunate harsh reality was that it became an economic bubble that burst, with the onset of inflation and then high interest rates. Suddenly, car payments became much more expensive, and the whole automotive industry slowed.
This resulted in wildly over valued EV share prices tanking, and some poorly thought out, newly formed EV SPACs (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) began to look tenuous in their viability, and some went under. A look at the Tesla stock price over time gives a good indication of what happened. They are down by 50% on their all time high, but many multiples ahead of their 2018 valuation.
Yet, something crazy happened: EV sales DID NOT TANK! They kept climbing, although at a slower rate than previously. It was clear that the message of “WHY EV” had cemented itself in consumer minds.
However, OEMs, which had planned for extremely high levels of EV mix, based on 100% year on year sales increases, got caught out when EV sales ONLY expanded at 10% to 30% year on year. The result was oversupply, on expanding sales. In other words, a failure to forecast well was an industry wide problem with industry wide consequences.
Yet, let’s remember how far EVs have come. Ten years ago, EV sales were well under 1% of total US sales. Today they’re north of 7% of the national US sales mix, and over 25% in California. By 2035 it will be 100% in California, as well as in Canada and states that follow California’s regulations, which account for nearly 50% of North America’s new car sales (not including Mexico).
Globally, EV sales were up 30% to 3.4 million in Q1 2024 (the same as the annual volume number just 4 years ago), and some time in Q3 this year cumulative global EV sales to date will hit 50 million, with the IEA (The International Energy Agency) forecasting 16.4 million sales this year.
In other words, EV sales in North America are only on one trajectory – up. There’s no going back.
It’s worth taking a deep dive into the Q1 2024 US sales numbers to gain a deeper understanding of the current situation.
While the US EV registrations rose by 3.8% year on year, compared to the usual 30 to 50% growth we’ve been seeing, it’s well short of expectations. However, it is still (just) ahead of the 3.5% US automotive market increase over the same period.
The first place to look is Tesla. They are the “800-Pound EV Gorilla,” with over 60% US EV market share in 2023. Like Model 3, Model Y has been a runaway success due to its mix of performance space, new technology and access to the ubiquitous Tesla Supercharging network. Because of this large market share, any Tesla success or failure quickly superimposes itself on the broader EV market.
Despite Tesla’s success, sales for Q1 2024 have dropped by 13% versus Q1 2023, a very rare event for the brand. There’s a couple of reasons for this. The first is that their key vehicle, Model Y, is starting to age. It’s been on sale for over 4 years with virtually no hardware changes, and its popularity is beginning to wane as newer competitors go on sale.
The second is the production ramp up of the refreshed Model 3 “Highland” is taking longer than expected. Even though it’s a brand-new update of a very popular vehicle, sales have been off nearly 50%.
In total, with Tesla off by 13%, their share was down to just over 50% of the EV market, and it thus held down the entire segment.
However, for most EVs without a Tesla badge, the story was very different. After Tesla, the top two OEMs for EVs are Hyundai/Kia and Ford (both of whom use SK On batteries) who had sales well up on Q1 2023, with increases of 56% and 86% respectively. These are numbers much more typical of the growth we’ve previously seen with OEMs, and it is repeated with Rivian, Mercedes, BMW and Toyota.
The major reason for this growth is a ramp up of incentives, and a focus on leasing. For OEMs that do not make EVs in the US (or Canada or Mexico), they do not qualify for the USD 7,500 federal incentive, except if the vehicle is leased. By applying the government incentive, adding a factory incentive and a customer down payment, incredibly attractive monthly payments have been offered for consumers, from as low as USD 240 per month. These sorts of offers have made EVs available for LESS than an equivalent IC vehicle, and with huge energy savings to be had on top, that’s a very tempting offer many retail customers are taking advantage of.
| What’s next for EVs? Only UP!
Looking into the short-term future, things will only get better, and there’s several reasons for that.
The first is that the “800-Pound EV Gorilla,” Tesla, will be back with Model 3 Highland production issues sorted, and a major update of the Model Y due in early 2025. Simply put, they won’t be resting on their laurels, and significant sales volume will return.
The second is new models from many different brands with more affordable prices launching soon. A plethora of a high-volume models with low starting prices are now dropping, including the Chevrolet Equinox, Volvo EX30 and soon the Kia EV3. This will only expand in 2025 and 2026. While we won’t see Chinese brands entering the US or Canadian market any time soon, they are selling in a big way in Mexico. Make no mistake, the impact of the Chinese OEMs will force OEMs selling in US and Canada to significantly reduce prices, speed up engineering development and offer more compelling product, even if the urgency is somewhat buffered by tariffs.
The third is the localization of production for key EV models. By building in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) countries, the USD 7,500 US federal credit is applicable on cash purchase and finance sales, as well as leased vehicles, thereby opening up the incentive to everyone. The first to localize was the Volkswagen ID4, and this is now being followed by the Hyundai IONIQ 5 and Kia EV9, which will result in a significant volume increase. Most other OEMs are following with local EV production over the next 3 to 4 years, including Honda, Toyota, Volvo, Mercedes, BMW and others.
| Are hybrids the answer?
Another piece to this story is the growth in hybrid sales, which in pure volumes terms, is similar to that of EVs. Many have pointed to this as a reason that EV sales are flat and that IC vehicles have a long-term future. What we’ve seen from the customer research done here at Vision Mobility is that hybrid buyers are ones that are struggling to make the jump from IC to EV, but still want to take a step towards a cleaner, more efficient vehicle. Buyers aren’t going from EV to hybrid, in fact it’s quite the opposite.
Hybrids introduce drivers to electrons, and electrons are addictive, with the only way that they can be fully satiated is to go full EV. If one looks at previous vehicles for EV owners, there’s almost always a hybrid in there, yet once in an EV, they don’t go back as EV retention is generally north of 80%.
Moreover, plug in hybrids offer buyers the same experience of charging as EVs, thereby increasing the comfort level further.
These thoughts are closely reflected in current US policy direction and by forward looking incumbent OEMs. Jennifer Granholm, the US Secretary for Energy, said hybrids “are the step that will lead to (electrification). We are bullish on that.”
Moreover, Korean OEM Kia Motors recently said that “hybrids aren't a threat to EVs but are the perfect gateway to electrification.”
While hybrids offer buyers a “transitional comfort”, once the smoothness and performance of an EV drive is experienced and the realization occurs that it will suit their lifestyle just fine, there’s no going back.
The point is this: hybrid owners of today are the EV owners of tomorrow.
| All new technology has bumps in the road to success, EVs included
What this all adds up to is sustained medium- and long-term growth for EVs, and this is exactly the forecast from both BNEF (Bloomberg New Energy Finance) and IEA.
On the other side of the COVID bubble, the WHY of EV hasn’t changed. The dream of clean air, lower transportation emissions and less reliance on oil and gas is not just still there; we are now FAR closer to that dream.
Just like the dot com bubble 20 years ago, the EV bubble will have end results that are no different. The weak players are shaken out, but the strong players will not just survive, they’ll flourish. No one today can imagine going back to a world without the internet, and the same will happen with EVs in 20 years from now. Fundamentally, EVs are a far superior technology to internal combustion (IC) cars, and once the dust settles, EV growth will normalise until there are no IC models left on the market.
In other words, the learning is nothing has changed, except that on the road to an EV reality, the dream came with a few bumps, just like almost every other major technological shift in the last 200 years.
■ Related articles
- SK On develops polymer electrolytes for lithium metal batteries
- Soon EVs will be the only vehicles purchased by lower mainstream buyers (by James Carter)
- Take the power with you: Why V2L is the must-have feature for new EVs (by James Carter)
- A passport ensures ethical transparency and sustainability to the battery minerals supply chain (by James Carter)
2024. 07. 04
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World’s first* supply chain established for more sustainable polyester fiber based on CO2-derived material as well as renewable and bio-based materials
A consortium of seven companies across five countries has jointly established a supply chain for more sustainable polyester fiber. Instead of fossil materials, renewable and bio-based materials as well as materials produced via carbon capture and utilization (CCU para-xylene)** will be used in the manufacturing of polyester fibers for THE NORTH FACE brand in Japan. The project parties are Goldwin, in the role of the Project Owner, Mitsubishi Corporation, Chiyoda Corporation (all three from Japan), SK Geo Centric (South Korea), Indorama Ventures (Thailand), India Glycols (India) and Neste (Finland).
The polyester fiber produced from the project is planned to be used by Goldwin for a part of THE NORTH FACE products including sports uniforms in July 2024. After that, the launch of further products and brands of Goldwin will be considered.
The seven companies apply a mass balancing approach*** to ensure credible traceability of material streams throughout the supply chain and will jointly continue to proactively promote the de-fossilization of materials to contribute to a more sustainable society.
“This consortium has great significance as it is the first case where multiple companies gather under the same of reducing carbon by making sustainable polyester that will eventually be used in clothing products in the final stage,” said an official from SK Geo Centric. “This is just the beginning. We will strive to keep creating greater synergy through cooperation with global companies.”
*World’s first: This refers to the first time CCU para-xylene (direct synthesis from CO) is applied and also to the first time a polyester is made without the use of fossil materials in collaboration among upstream material companies and a downstream apparel company through mass balancing, according to the companies’ research.
**CCU para-xylene: Regarding the production of para-xylene derived from CO2 as a raw material, the University of Toyama, HighChem Company Limited, Nippon Steel Engineering Co. Ltd., Nippon Steel Corporation, Chiyoda Corporation and Mitsubishi Corporation were awarded in 2020 as a NEDO‘s project (New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization) "Technology Development for Carbon Recycling and Next Generation Thermal Power Generation/Technology Development for CO2 Emission Reduction and Effective Utilization" and are conducting the joint research and development. This project is to supply CO2-derived para-xylene as a trial, which was produced during the operation process of a pilot plant installed in Chiyoda Corporation's Koyasu Research Park since March 2022.
***Mass balance / Mass balancing approach: A process that tracks the amount and sustainability characteristics of materials and enables allocation of such to a specific portion of the product in proportion to the input of the raw materials with sustainability characteristics, when they are mixed with other materials in the process of manufacturing and distribution of products.
[Photo] The establishment of a sustainable polyester supply chain by the consortium formed by SK Geo Centric in collaboration with global petrochemical, fiber, and clothing companies
2024. 07. 05
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SK Innovation
SK Innovation and SK E&S announce merger, forming Asia-Pacific's largest private energy company with assets of KRW 100 trillion
■ To achieve EBITDA of KRW 20 trillion by 2030 through three major synergies: portfolio, financial/profit Structure, and growth momentum
① Portfolio competitiveness: to establish portfolio competitiveness across all businesses, including current and future energy sectors
② Strengthening financial/profit structure: to secure stable profit generation capabilities in addition to external growth in assets and sales
③ Securing growth momentum: to enhance fundamental competitiveness and foster new businesses through the integration of resources and capabilities
■ To enhance raw material sourcing competitiveness and improve profit structure through the merger of SK On, SK Trading International, and SK Enterm
SK Innovation and SK E&S have announced their decision to merge, evolving into a comprehensive energy company that encompasses the entire value chain of both current energy sources (such as oil and LNG) and future energy sources (including renewable energy, hydrogen, and SMR), as well as electrification businesses like batteries and ESS.
Upon merging, the combined entity will transform into a colossal energy company with assets totaling KRW 100 trillion and revenues of KRW 88 trillion, positioning itself as the largest private energy company in the Asia-Pacific region.
In pursuit of this goal, SK Innovation and SK E&S each held board meetings on the 17th and approved the merger proposal. If the merger plan is approved at the shareholders' meeting scheduled for the 27th of next month, the merged corporation will officially launch on November 1st.
The merger ratio between the two companies is set at 1:1.1917417, calculated based on the corporate values of SK Innovation and SK E&S. Based on this ratio, SK Innovation, as the listed company, will issue new shares to SK Inc., the shareholder of SK E&S, amounting to 49,769,267 shares. The new shares of SK Innovation are expected to be listed on November 20th, and post-merger, SK Inc.'s stake in SK Innovation is anticipated to increase from 36.22% to 55.9%.
On the same day, SK On, SK Trading International, and SK Enterm each convened their respective board meetings and resolved to merge the three companies.
◈ Evolving into a Total Energy & Solutions Company, leading current and future energy
The merger between the two companies is being undertaken to proactively address the rapidly evolving external business environment, which includes the prolonged global economic downturn, heightened uncertainty in the energy and chemical sectors, and the chasm in the electric vehicle market. Additionally, the merger aims to secure competitiveness in future energy business areas.
SK Innovation was established in 1962 as the first oil refining company in Korea. The company has expanded its business portfolio to include petrochemicals, lubricants, and oil exploration. It is now diversifying into future energy sectors such as electric vehicle batteries, small modular reactors (SMR), ammonia, and immersion cooling, making it the largest energy company in the country.
SK E&S was spun off from SK Innovation in 1999 as a city gas holding company. It has become Korea's leading private LNG company by completing the LNG value chain on a global scale. The company is transitioning to a green portfolio that organically integrates its four core businesses - city gas, low-carbon LNG value chain, renewable energy, and hydrogen and energy solutions, to create synergies.
The merger is significant as it brings together two companies that have each grown to become the leading players in their respective business areas, solidifying their position as the largest private energy company in the Asia-Pacific region.
Beyond external growth, the merger will generate synergies in three key areas: enhancing portfolio competitiveness, strengthening financial and profit structures, and securing growth momentum.
Firstly, the merged company will develop a comprehensive portfolio that spans all areas, including energy sources (such as oil, chemicals, LNG, city gas, power, renewable energy, batteries, ESS, hydrogen, SMR, ammonia, and immersion cooling), energy carriers, and energy solutions. This will lay a solid foundation for sustainable growth. Currently, global oil majors are also currently pursuing balanced portfolios across the energy sector through various mergers and acquisitions.
Additionally, the merged company will not only achieve a scale of KRW 100 trillion in assets and KRW 88 trillion in revenue but also strengthen its financial and profit structure, with EBITDA* increasing to KRW 5.8 trillion, up 1.9 trillion KRW from pre-merger levels. Notably, the merged company will be able to mitigate the high profit volatility of the petrochemical business, which has served as a reliable cash cow, with the stable profit generation capabilities of the LNG, power, and city gas businesses. An analysis of the pre-tax profit volatility over the past 10 years shows that the merged company's pre-tax profit volatility will be significantly reduced from 215% to 66%.
*EBITDA: Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization
Furthermore, by integrating assets and capabilities across both energy and electrification sectors, the merged company will bolster its core competitiveness and profitability. For instance, combining SK Innovation's crude oil refining, crude oil/petroleum product trading, and oil exploration operations with SK E&S's gas development, LNG trading, and combined cycle power generation will improve the economics and profitability of exploration and development. Additionally, the shared use of infrastructure such as ships and terminals will enable operational optimization.
The electrification efforts pursued by both companies are also expected to gain momentum. SK Innovation has been advancing future energy businesses such as electric vehicle batteries, ESS, and thermal management systems, while SK E&S has focused on distributed power sources like renewable energy and district electricity businesses, as well as hydrogen, charging infrastructure, and energy solutions. The merged company will be able to combine the products and services of both companies to create new business models and pioneer new markets.
The two companies anticipate that by 2030, the synergies from the integration will alone add over KRW 2.1 trillion to EBITDA, aiming for a total EBITDA of KRW 20 trillion.
Park Sang-kyu, CEO & President of SK Innovation, stated, "The merger of the two companies represents a structural and fundamental innovation aimed at achieving sustainable growth by proactively responding to the changing environment surrounding the energy industry.” “Through this merger, SK Innovation will grow into a ‘Total Energy & Solution Company' that leads Korea's energy industry from the present into the future."
Choo Hyeong-wook, CEO & President of SK E&S, commented, "This merger will not only strengthen the existing business capabilities of both companies but also secure growth engines for key future energy businesses.” “Based on the synergies created through the merger, SK E&S will enhance its green portfolio centered on its four core businesses and lead the future energy market."
◈ Merger in trading and tank terminal businesses to boost SK On's continued growth
SK Trading International, which has approved the merger with SK On, is Korea's sole specialized trading company for crude oil and petroleum products. Meanwhile, SK Enterm is the country's largest commercial tank terminal operator, specializing in the storage and handling of petroleum cargo.
Through the merger of these three companies, SK On will be able to further strengthen its competitiveness in securing raw materials and ensure business sustainability. Additionally, SK Trading International will secure future growth engines by entering new mineral trading fields such as lithium and nickel, while the merger with SK Enterm will provide the necessary storage capacity for its trading business. Most importantly, the merger of the three companies is expected to improve the profit structure by generating an additional KRW 500 billion in EBITDA from the trading and tank terminal businesses.
[Photos]
(Photo 1) The journey of SK in the South Korean energy industry
(Photo 2) Financial structure before and after merger
(Photo 3) Ranking of energy companies in the Asia-Pacific region
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INSIGHT
Why the future of transportation in the US remains battery electric (by James Carter)
What the heck is up with the electric vehicle industry??
If you have read the North American media recently you would get the picture that the EV industry is in decidedly poor shape and the future is very uncertain.
Here’s some recent news that we’ve seen in the last few months:
It’s unfortunately all true.
So, is this the end of electric vehicles (EVs)? What happened? What changed??
Let me be VERY clear: NOTHING has changed in the medium- and long-term outlook for EVs.
EVs will still be the dominant form of road transportation by the 2030s, and like every new technologically innovative industry that changes people’s behaviours, adoption has its pain points as the industry develops.
Therefore, it’s really important to understand the recent history and dig into why we are at this point with EVs today.
| EVs – A pathway forward
For decades people have been thinking about how to drastically reduce pollution in our transportation, a dream of zero emissions and drastically reducing our reliance on oil and gas.
EVs offered a pathway forward for zero emissions motoring that both completely nixed harmful tailpipe pollution, and drastically lowered carbon emissions over the vehicle’s life.
The “WHY” of EV was clear.
Back in the early 2010s the dream of the electric car came to fruition with the advent of the large lithium -ion battery, suitable for use in cars and trucks. The introduction of vehicles like the Nissan Leaf, and soon after the Tesla Model S, resulted in the volume production of EVs.
These were breakthrough vehicles, and as the decade progressed, they were soon followed by other great purpose built EVs like the BMW i3, Chevrolet Bolt and later the extremely popular Tesla Model 3. What’s more, public chargers began to be installed and EV long distance travel for the middle class became a reality.
| The COVID pandemic Supercharged EVs
Then something crazy happened, COVID hit. This once in a century pandemic knocked the world off its feet.
Governments pumped tons of money into the economy and EV purchasing and investing became the flavour of the month. Sales took off, share prices skyrocketed and the EV future looked like it had come! Between 2020 and 2023:
• Tesla became a trillion-dollar company
• Ford had hundreds of thousands of pre-orders for the F150 Lightning electric pickup
• EVs sold at dealers for $10,000 or more over list
• Governments mandated zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) sales mixes
• Chargers were rolled out at breakneck speed
• A tidal wave of new EV models was launched
• Model Y became the top selling passenger vehicle in the US, only behind F150 and GM trucks. In fact, it became the world’s best-selling vehicle in 2023.
An EV did this?? It sure did! Ten years ago, no one would have forecast that!
| The bubble bursts
Yet, the unfortunate harsh reality was that it became an economic bubble that burst, with the onset of inflation and then high interest rates. Suddenly, car payments became much more expensive, and the whole automotive industry slowed.
This resulted in wildly over valued EV share prices tanking, and some poorly thought out, newly formed EV SPACs (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) began to look tenuous in their viability, and some went under. A look at the Tesla stock price over time gives a good indication of what happened. They are down by 50% on their all time high, but many multiples ahead of their 2018 valuation.
Yet, something crazy happened: EV sales DID NOT TANK! They kept climbing, although at a slower rate than previously. It was clear that the message of “WHY EV” had cemented itself in consumer minds.
However, OEMs, which had planned for extremely high levels of EV mix, based on 100% year on year sales increases, got caught out when EV sales ONLY expanded at 10% to 30% year on year. The result was oversupply, on expanding sales. In other words, a failure to forecast well was an industry wide problem with industry wide consequences.
Yet, let’s remember how far EVs have come. Ten years ago, EV sales were well under 1% of total US sales. Today they’re north of 7% of the national US sales mix, and over 25% in California. By 2035 it will be 100% in California, as well as in Canada and states that follow California’s regulations, which account for nearly 50% of North America’s new car sales (not including Mexico).
Globally, EV sales were up 30% to 3.4 million in Q1 2024 (the same as the annual volume number just 4 years ago), and some time in Q3 this year cumulative global EV sales to date will hit 50 million, with the IEA (The International Energy Agency) forecasting 16.4 million sales this year.
In other words, EV sales in North America are only on one trajectory – up. There’s no going back.
It’s worth taking a deep dive into the Q1 2024 US sales numbers to gain a deeper understanding of the current situation.
While the US EV registrations rose by 3.8% year on year, compared to the usual 30 to 50% growth we’ve been seeing, it’s well short of expectations. However, it is still (just) ahead of the 3.5% US automotive market increase over the same period.
The first place to look is Tesla. They are the “800-Pound EV Gorilla,” with over 60% US EV market share in 2023. Like Model 3, Model Y has been a runaway success due to its mix of performance space, new technology and access to the ubiquitous Tesla Supercharging network. Because of this large market share, any Tesla success or failure quickly superimposes itself on the broader EV market.
Despite Tesla’s success, sales for Q1 2024 have dropped by 13% versus Q1 2023, a very rare event for the brand. There’s a couple of reasons for this. The first is that their key vehicle, Model Y, is starting to age. It’s been on sale for over 4 years with virtually no hardware changes, and its popularity is beginning to wane as newer competitors go on sale.
The second is the production ramp up of the refreshed Model 3 “Highland” is taking longer than expected. Even though it’s a brand-new update of a very popular vehicle, sales have been off nearly 50%.
In total, with Tesla off by 13%, their share was down to just over 50% of the EV market, and it thus held down the entire segment.
However, for most EVs without a Tesla badge, the story was very different. After Tesla, the top two OEMs for EVs are Hyundai/Kia and Ford (both of whom use SK On batteries) who had sales well up on Q1 2023, with increases of 56% and 86% respectively. These are numbers much more typical of the growth we’ve previously seen with OEMs, and it is repeated with Rivian, Mercedes, BMW and Toyota.
The major reason for this growth is a ramp up of incentives, and a focus on leasing. For OEMs that do not make EVs in the US (or Canada or Mexico), they do not qualify for the USD 7,500 federal incentive, except if the vehicle is leased. By applying the government incentive, adding a factory incentive and a customer down payment, incredibly attractive monthly payments have been offered for consumers, from as low as USD 240 per month. These sorts of offers have made EVs available for LESS than an equivalent IC vehicle, and with huge energy savings to be had on top, that’s a very tempting offer many retail customers are taking advantage of.
| What’s next for EVs? Only UP!
Looking into the short-term future, things will only get better, and there’s several reasons for that.
The first is that the “800-Pound EV Gorilla,” Tesla, will be back with Model 3 Highland production issues sorted, and a major update of the Model Y due in early 2025. Simply put, they won’t be resting on their laurels, and significant sales volume will return.
The second is new models from many different brands with more affordable prices launching soon. A plethora of a high-volume models with low starting prices are now dropping, including the Chevrolet Equinox, Volvo EX30 and soon the Kia EV3. This will only expand in 2025 and 2026. While we won’t see Chinese brands entering the US or Canadian market any time soon, they are selling in a big way in Mexico. Make no mistake, the impact of the Chinese OEMs will force OEMs selling in US and Canada to significantly reduce prices, speed up engineering development and offer more compelling product, even if the urgency is somewhat buffered by tariffs.
The third is the localization of production for key EV models. By building in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) countries, the USD 7,500 US federal credit is applicable on cash purchase and finance sales, as well as leased vehicles, thereby opening up the incentive to everyone. The first to localize was the Volkswagen ID4, and this is now being followed by the Hyundai IONIQ 5 and Kia EV9, which will result in a significant volume increase. Most other OEMs are following with local EV production over the next 3 to 4 years, including Honda, Toyota, Volvo, Mercedes, BMW and others.
| Are hybrids the answer?
Another piece to this story is the growth in hybrid sales, which in pure volumes terms, is similar to that of EVs. Many have pointed to this as a reason that EV sales are flat and that IC vehicles have a long-term future. What we’ve seen from the customer research done here at Vision Mobility is that hybrid buyers are ones that are struggling to make the jump from IC to EV, but still want to take a step towards a cleaner, more efficient vehicle. Buyers aren’t going from EV to hybrid, in fact it’s quite the opposite.
Hybrids introduce drivers to electrons, and electrons are addictive, with the only way that they can be fully satiated is to go full EV. If one looks at previous vehicles for EV owners, there’s almost always a hybrid in there, yet once in an EV, they don’t go back as EV retention is generally north of 80%.
Moreover, plug in hybrids offer buyers the same experience of charging as EVs, thereby increasing the comfort level further.
These thoughts are closely reflected in current US policy direction and by forward looking incumbent OEMs. Jennifer Granholm, the US Secretary for Energy, said hybrids “are the step that will lead to (electrification). We are bullish on that.”
Moreover, Korean OEM Kia Motors recently said that “hybrids aren't a threat to EVs but are the perfect gateway to electrification.”
While hybrids offer buyers a “transitional comfort”, once the smoothness and performance of an EV drive is experienced and the realization occurs that it will suit their lifestyle just fine, there’s no going back.
The point is this: hybrid owners of today are the EV owners of tomorrow.
| All new technology has bumps in the road to success, EVs included
What this all adds up to is sustained medium- and long-term growth for EVs, and this is exactly the forecast from both BNEF (Bloomberg New Energy Finance) and IEA.
On the other side of the COVID bubble, the WHY of EV hasn’t changed. The dream of clean air, lower transportation emissions and less reliance on oil and gas is not just still there; we are now FAR closer to that dream.
Just like the dot com bubble 20 years ago, the EV bubble will have end results that are no different. The weak players are shaken out, but the strong players will not just survive, they’ll flourish. No one today can imagine going back to a world without the internet, and the same will happen with EVs in 20 years from now. Fundamentally, EVs are a far superior technology to internal combustion (IC) cars, and once the dust settles, EV growth will normalise until there are no IC models left on the market.
In other words, the learning is nothing has changed, except that on the road to an EV reality, the dream came with a few bumps, just like almost every other major technological shift in the last 200 years.
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- Take the power with you: Why V2L is the must-have feature for new EVs (by James Carter)
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SK Geo Centric
World’s first* supply chain established for more sustainable polyester fiber based on CO2-derived material as well as renewable and bio-based materials
A consortium of seven companies across five countries has jointly established a supply chain for more sustainable polyester fiber. Instead of fossil materials, renewable and bio-based materials as well as materials produced via carbon capture and utilization (CCU para-xylene)** will be used in the manufacturing of polyester fibers for THE NORTH FACE brand in Japan. The project parties are Goldwin, in the role of the Project Owner, Mitsubishi Corporation, Chiyoda Corporation (all three from Japan), SK Geo Centric (South Korea), Indorama Ventures (Thailand), India Glycols (India) and Neste (Finland).
The polyester fiber produced from the project is planned to be used by Goldwin for a part of THE NORTH FACE products including sports uniforms in July 2024. After that, the launch of further products and brands of Goldwin will be considered.
The seven companies apply a mass balancing approach*** to ensure credible traceability of material streams throughout the supply chain and will jointly continue to proactively promote the de-fossilization of materials to contribute to a more sustainable society.
“This consortium has great significance as it is the first case where multiple companies gather under the same of reducing carbon by making sustainable polyester that will eventually be used in clothing products in the final stage,” said an official from SK Geo Centric. “This is just the beginning. We will strive to keep creating greater synergy through cooperation with global companies.”
*World’s first: This refers to the first time CCU para-xylene (direct synthesis from CO) is applied and also to the first time a polyester is made without the use of fossil materials in collaboration among upstream material companies and a downstream apparel company through mass balancing, according to the companies’ research.
**CCU para-xylene: Regarding the production of para-xylene derived from CO2 as a raw material, the University of Toyama, HighChem Company Limited, Nippon Steel Engineering Co. Ltd., Nippon Steel Corporation, Chiyoda Corporation and Mitsubishi Corporation were awarded in 2020 as a NEDO‘s project (New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization) "Technology Development for Carbon Recycling and Next Generation Thermal Power Generation/Technology Development for CO2 Emission Reduction and Effective Utilization" and are conducting the joint research and development. This project is to supply CO2-derived para-xylene as a trial, which was produced during the operation process of a pilot plant installed in Chiyoda Corporation's Koyasu Research Park since March 2022.
***Mass balance / Mass balancing approach: A process that tracks the amount and sustainability characteristics of materials and enables allocation of such to a specific portion of the product in proportion to the input of the raw materials with sustainability characteristics, when they are mixed with other materials in the process of manufacturing and distribution of products.
[Photo] The establishment of a sustainable polyester supply chain by the consortium formed by SK Geo Centric in collaboration with global petrochemical, fiber, and clothing companies
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“Faster, Higher, Stronger!” - Discover the secrets of high-tech sports gear in Paris!
In summer 2024, all eyes will be on a great sport event in Paris, France. In this festival that has captured the world's attention, athletes challenge their physical and mental limits, engaging in exhilarating competition. Behind their incredible performance are unseen supporters: advanced sports equipment armed with cutting-edge technology. These high-tech marvels enable athletes to run faster, jump higher, and become stronger. At the core of this innovative sports equipment, there is a remarkable influence of petrochemicals. | Enhancing safety with lightness: petrochemical secrets of cycling Cycling is a sport where speed determines the winner. The first bicycle is generally considered to be the célérifère, created in the late 18th century by French nobleman Conte Mede de Sivrac. This early bicycle featured two wooden wheels of the same size connected in a line, with a saddle mounted on top. Riders would propel themselves by pushing their feet against the ground. The célérifère, meaning "fast-running machine," was heavy and uncomfortable due to its wooden construction, and its fixed wheels made changing direction difficult. In the 20th century, new materials like aluminum alloys began to be used for bicycle frames, making them lighter. More recently, carbon fiber has become the primary material for bicycles. Also known as Carbon Fiber Reinforced Plastic (CFRP), carbon fiber is a material that enhances the strength and elasticity of plastic by incorporating carbon fibers. Carbon fiber is favored for its lightweight properties and low thermal expansion rate, making it ideal for creating complex shapes. As a result, it has become a popular lightweight material for various sports equipment. Beside bicycle, helmets are manufactured from advanced plastic materials, protecting our heads during various outdoor activities such as skateboarding, inline skating or electric scooters. Advanced plastic makes it possible to produce a complex, ventilated and light equipment. One of these materials is polycarbonate, a popular choice for helmets due to its light weight, better heat-resistance, and high durability compared to regular plastic. | Wave masters: petrochemical magic behind surfboards The quest for excellence extends to the sea. Surfboard is a key item for ocean sport surfing, where one rides the waves on a single board. The boards are made of balsa wood, which is soft and light but also solid compared to its low density, making it a great material for surfboards, rafts, and woodworking. Yet, in the 1950s, as balsa wood became scarce in California, which was a hot spot for surfing at that time, some surfers started using polyurethane foam for their boards. Polyurethane foam boards floated better and were lighter than traditional wooden ones, making surfing much easier and lowering the entry barrier for enthusiasts. Today, surfboards are made of high-strength polyethylene and polyurethane foam, with surfaces often coated in polyester resin to enhance waterproofing. This allows even smaller boards to provide sufficient buoyancy, enabling surfers to perform more impressive maneuvers. | Cutting through water: petrochemical innovation behind high-tech swimwear Since modern swimming became an official sport, there has been continuous research and development in swimwear to help swimmers go faster. A significant milestone in swimwear history was reached in the 1960s when DuPont developed the world's first spandex fiber. Spandex, known for its exceptional stretch and recovery, along with nylon, became essential materials in modern swimwear. With advancements in the petrochemical industry, swimwear materials have continued to evolve. Functional synthetic fibers have been developed to protect against damage from sea salt and chlorine in swimming pools. Additionally, materials that prevent transparency when stretched and offer UV protection have also been introduced, further enhancing the performance and durability of swimwear. | Race for victory: petrochemical secrets of perfect-fit sportswear In track and field events, running is undoubtedly the most highlighted discipline, ranging from the 100-meter sprint to the 42.195-kilometer marathon. This extreme sport, which tests human limits, relies not only on the athletes' skills but also on the sportswear they use. In fact, many world records have been broken thanks to advancements in sportswear. Spandex, nylon, and polyester have become the key materials in modern athletic clothes. Sportswear made from these materials supports muscle activity, minimizes air resistance, and as moisture-wicking clothing, makes temperature regulation easier, acting as “a second skin”. Meanwhile, along with the growing concern for climate crisis and environmental protection, selection criteria for both sportswear and sports gear have become more stringent. Now, the impact of individual consumption on the environment is a key factor in purchase decision process. In response to this trend, on July 5 this year, SK Geo Centric announced that it would. In response, SK Geocentric announced on July 5th that it will produce sustainable polyester using recycled materials such as used cooking oil and palm residue oil, in collaboration with petrochemical and textile/apparel companies from Japan, Finland, India, and Thailand. SK Geo Centric produces renewable paraxylene (PX), a key raw material for polyester, and six global textile and apparel companies process it to create eco-friendly polyester. his sustainably produced polyester is used in sportswear products by outdoor brand The North Face, which leads the gorpcore* fashion trend. The amount of renewable Paraxylene produced by SK Geo Centric this year is sufficient to make approximately 100,000 T-shirts. (*) Gorpcore (Gorp+Nomcore): A fashion trend that involves wearing outdoor and utilitarian clothing as everyday streetwear. The term was derived from "gorp" (‘Good Ol' Raisins and Peanuts), a term for snacks favored by hikers, and "normcore", a fashion style that emphasizes simple, unpretentious style. From surfboards with incredible buoyancy to high-tech swimsuits and lightweight bicycles designed for speed, all these sports gear are closely linked to the continuous advancements in the petrochemical industry. As the world gears up for the sport event in Paris, discovering the cutting-edge tech behind athletes' gear will take your summer excitement to the next level! ■ Related articles - World’s first* supply chain established for more sustainable polyester fiber based on CO2-derived material as well as renewable and bio-based materials
2024. 07. 25
“Faster, Higher, Stronger!” - Discover the secrets of high-tech sports gear in Paris!
In summer 2024, all eyes will be on a great sport event in Paris, France. In this festival that has captured the world's attention, athletes challenge their physical and mental limits, engaging in exhilarating competition. Behind their incredible performance are unseen supporters: advanced sports equipment armed with cutting-edge technology. These high-tech marvels enable athletes to run faster, jump higher, and become stronger. At the core of this innovative sports equipment, there is a remarkable influence of petrochemicals. | Enhancing safety with lightness: petrochemical secrets of cycling Cycling is a sport where speed determines the winner. The first bicycle is generally considered to be the célérifère, created in the late 18th century by French nobleman Conte Mede de Sivrac. This early bicycle featured two wooden wheels of the same size connected in a line, with a saddle mounted on top. Riders would propel themselves by pushing their feet against the ground. The célérifère, meaning "fast-running machine," was heavy and uncomfortable due to its wooden construction, and its fixed wheels made changing direction difficult. In the 20th century, new materials like aluminum alloys began to be used for bicycle frames, making them lighter. More recently, carbon fiber has become the primary material for bicycles. Also known as Carbon Fiber Reinforced Plastic (CFRP), carbon fiber is a material that enhances the strength and elasticity of plastic by incorporating carbon fibers. Carbon fiber is favored for its lightweight properties and low thermal expansion rate, making it ideal for creating complex shapes. As a result, it has become a popular lightweight material for various sports equipment. Beside bicycle, helmets are manufactured from advanced plastic materials, protecting our heads during various outdoor activities such as skateboarding, inline skating or electric scooters. Advanced plastic makes it possible to produce a complex, ventilated and light equipment. One of these materials is polycarbonate, a popular choice for helmets due to its light weight, better heat-resistance, and high durability compared to regular plastic. | Wave masters: petrochemical magic behind surfboards The quest for excellence extends to the sea. Surfboard is a key item for ocean sport surfing, where one rides the waves on a single board. The boards are made of balsa wood, which is soft and light but also solid compared to its low density, making it a great material for surfboards, rafts, and woodworking. Yet, in the 1950s, as balsa wood became scarce in California, which was a hot spot for surfing at that time, some surfers started using polyurethane foam for their boards. Polyurethane foam boards floated better and were lighter than traditional wooden ones, making surfing much easier and lowering the entry barrier for enthusiasts. Today, surfboards are made of high-strength polyethylene and polyurethane foam, with surfaces often coated in polyester resin to enhance waterproofing. This allows even smaller boards to provide sufficient buoyancy, enabling surfers to perform more impressive maneuvers. | Cutting through water: petrochemical innovation behind high-tech swimwear Since modern swimming became an official sport, there has been continuous research and development in swimwear to help swimmers go faster. A significant milestone in swimwear history was reached in the 1960s when DuPont developed the world's first spandex fiber. Spandex, known for its exceptional stretch and recovery, along with nylon, became essential materials in modern swimwear. With advancements in the petrochemical industry, swimwear materials have continued to evolve. Functional synthetic fibers have been developed to protect against damage from sea salt and chlorine in swimming pools. Additionally, materials that prevent transparency when stretched and offer UV protection have also been introduced, further enhancing the performance and durability of swimwear. | Race for victory: petrochemical secrets of perfect-fit sportswear In track and field events, running is undoubtedly the most highlighted discipline, ranging from the 100-meter sprint to the 42.195-kilometer marathon. This extreme sport, which tests human limits, relies not only on the athletes' skills but also on the sportswear they use. In fact, many world records have been broken thanks to advancements in sportswear. Spandex, nylon, and polyester have become the key materials in modern athletic clothes. Sportswear made from these materials supports muscle activity, minimizes air resistance, and as moisture-wicking clothing, makes temperature regulation easier, acting as “a second skin”. Meanwhile, along with the growing concern for climate crisis and environmental protection, selection criteria for both sportswear and sports gear have become more stringent. Now, the impact of individual consumption on the environment is a key factor in purchase decision process. In response to this trend, on July 5 this year, SK Geo Centric announced that it would. In response, SK Geocentric announced on July 5th that it will produce sustainable polyester using recycled materials such as used cooking oil and palm residue oil, in collaboration with petrochemical and textile/apparel companies from Japan, Finland, India, and Thailand. SK Geo Centric produces renewable paraxylene (PX), a key raw material for polyester, and six global textile and apparel companies process it to create eco-friendly polyester. his sustainably produced polyester is used in sportswear products by outdoor brand The North Face, which leads the gorpcore* fashion trend. The amount of renewable Paraxylene produced by SK Geo Centric this year is sufficient to make approximately 100,000 T-shirts. (*) Gorpcore (Gorp+Nomcore): A fashion trend that involves wearing outdoor and utilitarian clothing as everyday streetwear. The term was derived from "gorp" (‘Good Ol' Raisins and Peanuts), a term for snacks favored by hikers, and "normcore", a fashion style that emphasizes simple, unpretentious style. From surfboards with incredible buoyancy to high-tech swimsuits and lightweight bicycles designed for speed, all these sports gear are closely linked to the continuous advancements in the petrochemical industry. As the world gears up for the sport event in Paris, discovering the cutting-edge tech behind athletes' gear will take your summer excitement to the next level! ■ Related articles - World’s first* supply chain established for more sustainable polyester fiber based on CO2-derived material as well as renewable and bio-based materials
2024. 07. 25
[Interview] “Growing together with social enterprises through pro bono,” stories shared by SK Innovation CSR manager
2024. 07. 16
SK Innovation to explore future energy growth strategies at Global Forum in the U.S.
2024. 07. 10
[Battery Explorer] ② The 4 key components of a secondary battery
2024. 07. 09
SK Innovation's MSCI ESG rating upgraded to AA, recognized as a global leader
2024. 07. 08